My Mountain Town Weather
From Meteorologist Steve Hamilton
Morrison | Conifer | Evergreen |  Pine | Bailey | Fairplay | Jefferson-Como | Alma | Lake George & Guffey | Hartsel

 

Showers and Thunderstorms Possible Through Wednesday...

Daytime highs stay warm for the Foothills on Tuesday. A cold front is expected sometime late Tuesday morning, bringing back a little bit of moist air. It won't be much, but may be enough to get some scattered showers or thunderstorms going. Increased cloud cover should keep our temperatures near average for the Foothills, but it'll heat up in Denver and out on the plains. Following Tuesday's cold front, an upslope flow comes in on Wednesday. So, we'll have a better chance of convective development. And, wind shear profiles indicate the possibility of some severe storms Wednesday afternoon. Most of these will be east of the Foothills, but storms with damaging wind and hail will be possible for us too. We'll dry out and warm up on Thursday and Friday, but forecast models are hinting about more monsoon moisture coming in over the weekend.
Morrison

Tuesday: Turning cloudy. Slight chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. High: Upper 80s.

Tuesday Night: A few evening thunderstorms possible. Low: 60.

Wednesday: Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. High: Upper 80s.

Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers.

Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 88.
Conifer

Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. High: Upper 70s.

Tuesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, with a low around 51.

Wednesday: Showers and afternoon thunderstorms likely. High: Upper 70s.

Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
Evergreen

Tuesday: Some clouds. Slight chance of an afternoon thunderstorm. High: Lower 80s. 

Tuesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, with a low around 52.

Wednesday: Afternoon showers and thunderstorms likely. High: Upper 70s.

Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: Mostly sunny. Maybe an afternoon shower. High: Upper 70s.
Pine

Tuesday: Some clouds. A slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms. High: Mid 80s.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. 

Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. Increasing clouds, with a high near 82.

Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, with a low around 51.

Thursday: A few showers and thunderstorms. Mix of sun and clouds, with a high near 82.
Bailey

Tuesday: A few afternoon showers and thunderstorms. High: Lower 80s.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. A few showers possible. Low: Lower 50s.

Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm, with a high near 80.

Wednesday Night: A few showers and thunderstorms, with a low around 51.

Thursday: Scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. High: Lower 80s.
Fairplay

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. High: Mid 70s. Breezy.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.

Wednesday: Scattered showers and afternoon thunderstorms. Partly sunny. High: Lower 70s. Windy.

Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon, with a high near 74.
Como And Jefferson

Tuesday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon., with a high near 74.

Tuesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, with a low around 45.

Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. Gusty wind.

Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Thursday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 74.
Alma

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. Gusty wind.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 47.

Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms after noon, with a high near 69. Breezy.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.

Thursday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon, with a high near 70.
Lake George And Guffey

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 85.

Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, low around 46.

Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. High near 82.

Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, with a low around 44.

Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon, with a high near 83.
Hartsel

Tuesday: Increasing clouds, with a high near 79. Breezy.

Tuesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, with a low around 47.

Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after noon, with a high near 78. Windy.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. Windy.

Thursday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 79.
FB 3 28 2017Steve Hamilton is a meteorologist based in Denver, Colorado. He is certified by the American Meteorological Society and the National Weather Association. Steve got interested meteorology at age nine, when Hurricane Agnes roared across his home town in New Jersey. He moved to Denver, Colorado with his family in 1979, graduating from Columbine High School in Littleton in 1980. Steve has a BS in Mass Media from Colorado State University. In 2009, he obtained his Broadcast Meteorology Certification from Mississippi State University. He stays on top of the latest forecasting techniques and technology through courses through Penn State University.

 


Posts in discussion: Local Foothills Weather Forecasts

MyMountainTown's Avatar
MyMountainTown replied the topic: #1 01 Jan 2020 20:18
Thank you for asking Petersenbj, after some planning with Chief Meteorologist Steve Hamilton, we're thrilled to announce that we are now covering Hartsel, Lake George, and Guffey in our daily mountain weather forecasts! Pass the word along to your friends, family, and neighbors! mymountaintown.com/expert-local-weather

Lake George And Guffey Jan 2-4
Thursday: Fair and breezy. High: Lower 30s.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear and chilly. Low: Single digits.
Friday: Sunny and breezy. High: Mid 30s. Wind gusting to 20 mph.
Saturday: Mostly sunny and warmer. High: Mid 40s.
Sunday: Fair. High: Upper 30s.

Hartsel Jan 2-4
Thursday: Fair and breezy. High: Lower 20s. Wind gusting to 20 mph.
Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Low: Single digits.
Friday: Sunny and breezy. High: Mid 20s.
Saturday: Sunny with a few clouds and warmer. High: Mid to upper 30s.
Sunday: Fair. High: Lower 30s.
Petersenbj's Avatar
Petersenbj replied the topic: #2 21 Nov 2019 19:12
Would it be possible to get forecast info for the Hartsel area. Seems there is always a big difference with what is forecast for Fair play. Understand if not really possible but wanted to check.

Thanks for the great work you do.
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #3 06 Nov 2017 20:58
Be careful commuting tomorrow everyone!

Snow Hangs Around Tuesday...
A steady upslope flow will keep snow or snow showers going in the foothills until late Tuesday night. Not much accumulation is expected, with totals staying under 5 inches by Tuesday night. By late evening, snow will be ending with skies going partly cloudy. Temperatures will be cold Tuesday night with lows in the teens for many locations. High pressure moves in on Wednesday, with sunny and warmer weather.

ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #4 07 Aug 2017 07:32
Ummm, he said the "U" word and the "S" word! :ohmy: This is so not okay. It's August 7th.
#SoNotReady #StillSummer :sunshine: :unsure:

From Chief Meteorologist Steve Hamilton: Can You Say "Upslope"?
"A large area of high pressure to the east, combined with low pressure over Texas will bring upslope conditions to the foothills through Tuesday. High pressure will direct the wind into the mountains, while the low to the southeast pulls in moist air. Temperatures will be much cooler than normal, with rain likely along with afternoon thunderstorms. A good chance of rain continues into Tuesday, with rain slowly tapering off by Tuesday afternoon. We'll have showers, off-and-on, into the middle of the week. A little snow may be mixed with the rain in the higher elevations during the evening and overnight hours."

Details on our Local Weather Page: mymountaintown.com/expert-local-weather
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #5 22 Feb 2017 08:40
We need some serious snow dancing to be going on! Aside from the high fire danger that we need to fix, the 285 Winterfest is this Saturday! :) :snowflake: :superluge: :sunnysnow:

From our Chief Meteorologist Steve Hamilton:

Gusty And Warm Through Wednesday - Maybe Snow By Thursday...
Breezy and unusually warm again on Wednesday with high pressure still over Colorado and the central Rockies. Downslope wind will cause compressional warming, and that means another mild, windy day for the foothills. Changes are coming by Thursday with a cold front and low pressure passing through. As the low moves to our east, we should have a chance of snow most of Thursday and into Friday. Accumulations will not be heavy, but we need all we can get right now.

mymountaintown.com/expert-local-weather
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #6 16 May 2016 08:42
Guess I will be pulling the plants in and covering the ones in the greenhouse thanks
Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #7 16 May 2016 03:42
Looks like 3 to 4 inches in the Bailey area. This will happen mainly tonight into Tuesday morning with snow letting up by Tuesday afternoon.
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #8 15 May 2016 17:16
So what is going to happen the next couple of days here in Bailey? I got plants in the green house and people talking snow please let me know.

Thanks
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #9 20 Apr 2016 08:04

What a glorious morning! Bill Nilsson captured this beautiful sunrise in Bailey and shared it with us on Facebook.

We have a chance for a few showers popping up here and there today before sunny warm weather returns through the weekend. We're not out of the winter woods yet though - Chief Meteorologist Steve Hamilton says things may change next week so stay tuned for more. Details on our Weather page mymountaintown.com/weather-traffic/super-local-weather
MountainTownAlerts's Avatar
MountainTownAlerts replied the topic: #10 24 Mar 2016 13:17
Preliminary Snowfall Map (3/23/16) for NE Colorado. For the latest Local Storm Reports - Go to forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=bo...uct=LSR&issuedby=BOU



Idledale 26"
Conifer 22"
Evergreen 20.5"
Denver 19.5" & 18"
Bergen Park 18.5"
Littleton 13.5"
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #11 01 Feb 2016 11:53
Thanks was wondering when things change.

Snowing hard in Evergreen now we have gotten 2 inches since I came in this morning.
Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #12 01 Feb 2016 11:47
Well, first of all, "They" is The Weather Channel. Winter storms are not named by any government agency like NOAA or the National Hurricane Center. Those are the people who name hurricanes. NOAA does not name winter storms.

So, what you're seeing here is an effort by TWC to get attention by taking the initiative and naming winter storms on their own. There is nothing official about what they're doing, but then again, there isn't anything illegal about it. NOAA, The National Weather Service, does not recognize the names TWC issues. It's purely a marketing campaign by TWC. I think they think it's popular, but I've also heard a lot of negative responses from people about the names they've come up with being "silly".

To summarize, the only "officially named" storms are hurricanes, typhoons and tropical cyclones. A storm gets a name when it reaches Tropical Storm status, as judged by the National Hurricane Center. That is, a tropical cyclone (originating in the Tropics) with sustained wind speeds of 39 mph. Then it gets a name from NHC.

TWC is doing their own thing with naming winter storms. I will also tell you that TWC uses the same data from NOAA and the National Weather Service that the rest of us meteorologists use in determining the forecasts. What TWC has done is make weather more "personal" and "understandable", because government agencies use official "weather speak" in their description of storms. That's why we have humans on Radio and TV to explain things.

I hope that helps answer the question! -Steve
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #13 01 Feb 2016 11:17
Why are they naming winter storms now?
Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #14 27 Jan 2016 11:05
I am "model watching" today, and no not THAT kind of model watching LOL. There are still some things up in the air with this one, no pun intended. If the TV guys are hyping it, it's because they've been told to by their bosses. This system has yet to come together with consistency in the myriad forecast models. Once the analysis is complete, I'll be posting plenty of information on our Super Local Forecasts page for sure. :-)
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #15 27 Jan 2016 06:24
So what do you say about the storm coming in Monday/Tuesday?

News Stations are already trying to hype it up as a big one.
Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #16 20 Dec 2015 12:10
I'm not expecting much snow on Christmas. The current GFS model run is showing another one of those east-central Colorado lows, just like the previous few.

We will likely get "some" snow, but the configuration of this storm is too far north to bring us anything significant.

So yes, Santa will have good flying weather. And I hear Rudolph's nose-bulb has been replaced by one of those high-efficiency LED light sets. Shouldn't be a problem. :) :caribouxmas
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #17 20 Dec 2015 11:00
As long as the airport doesn't shut down Christmas day, I'll be a happy camper. ;)
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #18 19 Dec 2015 18:18
Looks like Santa will have decent flying weather at least here in Colorado!!

I will say I was hoping for some of the white stuff

:snowindow: :happysnow: :snomanpipe: :xmaslights: :candle:
Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #19 12 Dec 2015 11:00
Well, it's going to be slippery... that's for sure. So, take it easy and follow all the appropriate rules of the road. Be safe!
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #20 12 Dec 2015 10:51
Cool, that's not bad at all. I'm looking forward to heading to the wine club night at Aspen Peak Cellars tonight! Thanks Steve!

Here's how it looks now:

Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #21 12 Dec 2015 10:24
As I mention in the Bailey forecast on the site, we are looking at something around - or less than - 5 inches of snow. If that changes, we will update, of course.

Stay tuned, and thanks for the comment!
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #22 11 Dec 2015 20:07
So what's the scoop how much snow is Bailey going to get?
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #23 29 Nov 2015 21:31
From Chief Meteorologist Steve Hamilton:
Prepare for strong wind, gusting to 55 mph in some foothills locations Monday and Monday Night.
High pressure will be moving over the central Rockies on Monday. This will clear out the snow, but it will also bring very windy conditions to the foothills. We are expecting some wind advisories to be issued sometime Monday, and we will keep you up to date. Wind gusts to 55 mph may happen late Monday afternoon into the evening.

Details here: mymountaintown.com/weather-traffic/super-local-weather
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #24 25 Nov 2015 19:09
From Chief Meteorologist Steve Hamilton on our Super Local Weather Page : A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 6 p.m. Wednesday evening until 8 a.m. Friday morning. We are expecting light snow and freezing drizzle to begin this evening, changing to all snow by tonight. Some light ice accumulation will occur, making roads slick and travel slow.

2 to 6 inches of snow is expected, with the highest totals in the foothill areas.

Temperatures will drop to the 20s overnight, and will remain there during Thanksgiving Day. Snow will taper off by early Friday, but temperatures will be in the teens during the day.

Posted earlier today on our Facebook Page:

From Meteorologist Steve Hamilton: If you've got travel plans for Thanksgiving, here's your weather update. The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory that covers most of our Mountain Towns and the Denver Metro. Be prepared for several inches of snow, cold temperatures, slick roads and poor visibility. Check in with our main weather page for continuous coverage: mymountaintown.com/weather-traffic/super-local-weather

Sounds like a great day to stay inside, watch football, and enjoy good food and spirits! If you have to travel, or friends/family are coming to you, please be safe and make sure your cars are winter-ready.

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!
:happytgivin
Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #25 15 Nov 2015 18:49
What you've got there is a whole bunch of "weather speak" right from the National Weather Service website. The finer points are as follows...

This storm is much like the last one. It's a fast-mover, and not on an optimum track for a monumental snow event. The reason this storm has been so difficult to nail-down is, in part, due to a dynamic weather pattern related to the position and intensity of the Jet Stream. (Maybe El Nino is having an impact, but I won't pin it on that, officially.)

We're under a Winter Storm Watch for most of the Mountain Towns except for Morrison and Fairplay. Morrison isn't included because of the lack of full-blown upslope. Fairplay is not included because it will be protected from most of the upslope flow late Monday/Tuesday. The rest of the areas will receive up to 12 inches of snow along with gusty wind and colder temperatures. The higher mountains are under a Winter Storm Warning with higher accumulations expected.

For our coverage area, we can expect snow to begin tomorrow afternoon, lasting though Tuesday morning. This means a messy commute early Tuesday.

You should be prepared for up to 12 inches of snowfall, with slightly higher amounts in higher elevations. There will likely be widely-varying amounts per location. The "snow window" is Monday evening through Tuesday mid-morning. Snow will rapidly taper-off through the day Tuesday, followed by breezy and cold conditions.

Most of the snow will fall late Monday night and early Tuesday morning. We will most likely be changing some snow totals as we get closer to storm initiation, and if you have the capability of sending snow reports to us through our Facebook page, that would be awesome.

Stay tuned for more, tomorrow morning! -Meteorologist Steve Hamilton
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