My Mountain Town Weather
From Colorado Meteorologist Steve Hamilton

Morrison | Conifer | Evergreen |  Pine | Bailey | Fairplay | Jefferson-Como | Alma 

Screen Shot 2017 08 20 at 10.05.17 PM92 Percent Is Better Than Nothing...
If you can't get up to Wyoming to view the solar eclipse in totality, we'll be getting about 92% sun disk coverage here in the foothills. The map at left is showing our predicted cloud cover at eclipse time, which peaks at about 11:45 a.m. MDT on Monday. Our overall forecast shows more clouds moving in by afternoon, with a few showers and thunderstorms arriving late in the day across all locations.


Temperatures will be a little cooler on Monday, and through much of the week, as an influx of tropical air from the south brings us a decent chance of showers and thunderstorms for the foothills, especially by Tuesday afternoon and evening.

 

 

Morrison:

Monday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Light and variable wind becoming north northeast 5 to 8 mph in the morning.
Monday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. North northeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Light and variable wind becoming east around 6 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. South wind 5 to 7 mph.
Wednesday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 83.

 

Conifer:    

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 72. West wind 6 to 8 mph becoming north northeast in the morning.
Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. North northeast wind 5 to 8 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 69. Calm wind becoming east southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. South wind around 6 mph becoming west after midnight.
Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 71.

 

Evergreen:  

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 3pm and 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 77. West wind 5 to 8 mph becoming northeast in the morning.
Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. North northeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Tuesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Light and variable wind becoming east southeast around 6 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. South wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 77.

 

Pine:  

Monday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 76. West wind 6 to 8 mph becoming northeast in the morning.
Monday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. North northeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Tuesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. Calm wind becoming east southeast around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. South wind around 6 mph becoming west after midnight.
Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 76.

 

Bailey:    

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 3pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming northeast in the morning.
Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. North northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 71. Calm wind becoming east southeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. South wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable in the evening.
Wednesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 73.

 

Fairplay:  

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. West northwest wind around 8 mph becoming north in the afternoon.
Monday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. North northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. South wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable.
Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67.

 

Jefferson/Como:  

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 68. West wind 6 to 9 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Monday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 67. Light and variable wind becoming south around 6 mph in the morning.
Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. South wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable.
Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67.

 

Alma:

Monday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 65. West northwest wind 7 to 10 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph.
Monday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 65. Calm wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 42. South wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable.
Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63.

 

About Colorado Meteorologist Steve Hamilton

SH AMS WRNSteve Hamilton is a professional meteorologist, based in Denver. He is certified by the American Meteorological Society and the National Weather Association. Steve has studied weather since age 9 when Hurricane Agnes roared across his home town in New Jersey. As a young boy, Steve began to write to TV weather forecasters in Philadelphia, asking for weather maps and satellite images so he could study them. He moved to Denver, Colorado with his family in 1979, graduating from Columbine High School in Littleton in 1980.


He went on to college, graduating with a BS in Mass Media from Colorado State University in 1984. His second stint as a college student was at Mississippi State University for Meteorology, graduating in 2009, and earning his American Meteorological Society Seal Of Approval in December 2009. Steve was a weather intern/producer for KMGH-TV for five years before entering the field as a professional meteorologist.

Steve is now one of the lead meteorologists for The Storm Report, Inc., based in Kansas City, MO, but Steve has his own weather studio in Denver. "The Storm Report" specializes in delivering custom weather forecasts and live severe weather updates to 150 radio stations across the country. He is also a “Storm Chaser” and often roams the Colorado plains in the spring and summer, photographing tornadoes and severe thunderstorms for scientific study.

Additionally, Steve serves as a Weather Ready Nation Ambassador for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The Weather-Ready Nation Ambassador™ initiative is NOAA's effort to formally recognize NOAA partners who are improving the nation’s readiness, responsiveness, and overall resilience against extreme weather, water, and climate events. You can contact Steve through our MMT Homepage.



ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #1 07 Aug 2017 07:32
Ummm, he said the "U" word and the "S" word! :ohmy: This is so not okay. It's August 7th.
#SoNotReady #StillSummer :sunshine: :unsure:

From Chief Meteorologist Steve Hamilton: Can You Say "Upslope"?
"A large area of high pressure to the east, combined with low pressure over Texas will bring upslope conditions to the foothills through Tuesday. High pressure will direct the wind into the mountains, while the low to the southeast pulls in moist air. Temperatures will be much cooler than normal, with rain likely along with afternoon thunderstorms. A good chance of rain continues into Tuesday, with rain slowly tapering off by Tuesday afternoon. We'll have showers, off-and-on, into the middle of the week. A little snow may be mixed with the rain in the higher elevations during the evening and overnight hours."

Details on our Local Weather Page: mymountaintown.com/expert-local-weather
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #2 22 Feb 2017 08:40
We need some serious snow dancing to be going on! Aside from the high fire danger that we need to fix, the 285 Winterfest is this Saturday! :) :snowflake: :superluge: :sunnysnow:

From our Chief Meteorologist Steve Hamilton:

Gusty And Warm Through Wednesday - Maybe Snow By Thursday...
Breezy and unusually warm again on Wednesday with high pressure still over Colorado and the central Rockies. Downslope wind will cause compressional warming, and that means another mild, windy day for the foothills. Changes are coming by Thursday with a cold front and low pressure passing through. As the low moves to our east, we should have a chance of snow most of Thursday and into Friday. Accumulations will not be heavy, but we need all we can get right now.

mymountaintown.com/expert-local-weather
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #3 16 May 2016 08:42
Guess I will be pulling the plants in and covering the ones in the greenhouse thanks
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Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #4 16 May 2016 03:42
Looks like 3 to 4 inches in the Bailey area. This will happen mainly tonight into Tuesday morning with snow letting up by Tuesday afternoon.
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #5 15 May 2016 17:16
So what is going to happen the next couple of days here in Bailey? I got plants in the green house and people talking snow please let me know.

Thanks
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #6 20 Apr 2016 08:04

What a glorious morning! Bill Nilsson captured this beautiful sunrise in Bailey and shared it with us on Facebook.

We have a chance for a few showers popping up here and there today before sunny warm weather returns through the weekend. We're not out of the winter woods yet though - Chief Meteorologist Steve Hamilton says things may change next week so stay tuned for more. Details on our Weather page mymountaintown.com/weather-traffic/super-local-weather
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MountainTownAlerts replied the topic: #7 24 Mar 2016 13:17
Preliminary Snowfall Map (3/23/16) for NE Colorado. For the latest Local Storm Reports - Go to forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=bo...uct=LSR&issuedby=BOU



Idledale 26"
Conifer 22"
Evergreen 20.5"
Denver 19.5" & 18"
Bergen Park 18.5"
Littleton 13.5"
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #8 01 Feb 2016 11:53
Thanks was wondering when things change.

Snowing hard in Evergreen now we have gotten 2 inches since I came in this morning.
Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #9 01 Feb 2016 11:47
Well, first of all, "They" is The Weather Channel. Winter storms are not named by any government agency like NOAA or the National Hurricane Center. Those are the people who name hurricanes. NOAA does not name winter storms.

So, what you're seeing here is an effort by TWC to get attention by taking the initiative and naming winter storms on their own. There is nothing official about what they're doing, but then again, there isn't anything illegal about it. NOAA, The National Weather Service, does not recognize the names TWC issues. It's purely a marketing campaign by TWC. I think they think it's popular, but I've also heard a lot of negative responses from people about the names they've come up with being "silly".

To summarize, the only "officially named" storms are hurricanes, typhoons and tropical cyclones. A storm gets a name when it reaches Tropical Storm status, as judged by the National Hurricane Center. That is, a tropical cyclone (originating in the Tropics) with sustained wind speeds of 39 mph. Then it gets a name from NHC.

TWC is doing their own thing with naming winter storms. I will also tell you that TWC uses the same data from NOAA and the National Weather Service that the rest of us meteorologists use in determining the forecasts. What TWC has done is make weather more "personal" and "understandable", because government agencies use official "weather speak" in their description of storms. That's why we have humans on Radio and TV to explain things.

I hope that helps answer the question! -Steve
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #10 01 Feb 2016 11:17
Why are they naming winter storms now?
Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #11 27 Jan 2016 11:05
I am "model watching" today, and no not THAT kind of model watching LOL. There are still some things up in the air with this one, no pun intended. If the TV guys are hyping it, it's because they've been told to by their bosses. This system has yet to come together with consistency in the myriad forecast models. Once the analysis is complete, I'll be posting plenty of information on our Super Local Forecasts page for sure. :-)
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #12 27 Jan 2016 06:24
So what do you say about the storm coming in Monday/Tuesday?

News Stations are already trying to hype it up as a big one.
Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #13 20 Dec 2015 12:10
I'm not expecting much snow on Christmas. The current GFS model run is showing another one of those east-central Colorado lows, just like the previous few.

We will likely get "some" snow, but the configuration of this storm is too far north to bring us anything significant.

So yes, Santa will have good flying weather. And I hear Rudolph's nose-bulb has been replaced by one of those high-efficiency LED light sets. Shouldn't be a problem. :) :caribouxmas
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #14 20 Dec 2015 11:00
As long as the airport doesn't shut down Christmas day, I'll be a happy camper. ;)
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #15 19 Dec 2015 18:18
Looks like Santa will have decent flying weather at least here in Colorado!!

I will say I was hoping for some of the white stuff

:snowindow: :happysnow: :snomanpipe: :xmaslights: :candle:
Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #16 12 Dec 2015 11:00
Well, it's going to be slippery... that's for sure. So, take it easy and follow all the appropriate rules of the road. Be safe!
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #17 12 Dec 2015 10:51
Cool, that's not bad at all. I'm looking forward to heading to the wine club night at Aspen Peak Cellars tonight! Thanks Steve!

Here's how it looks now:

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Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #18 12 Dec 2015 10:24
As I mention in the Bailey forecast on the site, we are looking at something around - or less than - 5 inches of snow. If that changes, we will update, of course.

Stay tuned, and thanks for the comment!
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #19 11 Dec 2015 20:07
So what's the scoop how much snow is Bailey going to get?
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #20 29 Nov 2015 21:31
From Chief Meteorologist Steve Hamilton:
Prepare for strong wind, gusting to 55 mph in some foothills locations Monday and Monday Night.
High pressure will be moving over the central Rockies on Monday. This will clear out the snow, but it will also bring very windy conditions to the foothills. We are expecting some wind advisories to be issued sometime Monday, and we will keep you up to date. Wind gusts to 55 mph may happen late Monday afternoon into the evening.

Details here: mymountaintown.com/weather-traffic/super-local-weather
ScienceChic's Avatar
ScienceChic replied the topic: #21 25 Nov 2015 19:09
From Chief Meteorologist Steve Hamilton on our Super Local Weather Page : A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect from 6 p.m. Wednesday evening until 8 a.m. Friday morning. We are expecting light snow and freezing drizzle to begin this evening, changing to all snow by tonight. Some light ice accumulation will occur, making roads slick and travel slow.

2 to 6 inches of snow is expected, with the highest totals in the foothill areas.

Temperatures will drop to the 20s overnight, and will remain there during Thanksgiving Day. Snow will taper off by early Friday, but temperatures will be in the teens during the day.

Posted earlier today on our Facebook Page:

From Meteorologist Steve Hamilton: If you've got travel plans for Thanksgiving, here's your weather update. The National Weather Service has issued a Winter Weather Advisory that covers most of our Mountain Towns and the Denver Metro. Be prepared for several inches of snow, cold temperatures, slick roads and poor visibility. Check in with our main weather page for continuous coverage: mymountaintown.com/weather-traffic/super-local-weather

Sounds like a great day to stay inside, watch football, and enjoy good food and spirits! If you have to travel, or friends/family are coming to you, please be safe and make sure your cars are winter-ready.

Happy Thanksgiving everyone!
:happytgivin
Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #22 15 Nov 2015 18:49
What you've got there is a whole bunch of "weather speak" right from the National Weather Service website. The finer points are as follows...

This storm is much like the last one. It's a fast-mover, and not on an optimum track for a monumental snow event. The reason this storm has been so difficult to nail-down is, in part, due to a dynamic weather pattern related to the position and intensity of the Jet Stream. (Maybe El Nino is having an impact, but I won't pin it on that, officially.)

We're under a Winter Storm Watch for most of the Mountain Towns except for Morrison and Fairplay. Morrison isn't included because of the lack of full-blown upslope. Fairplay is not included because it will be protected from most of the upslope flow late Monday/Tuesday. The rest of the areas will receive up to 12 inches of snow along with gusty wind and colder temperatures. The higher mountains are under a Winter Storm Warning with higher accumulations expected.

For our coverage area, we can expect snow to begin tomorrow afternoon, lasting though Tuesday morning. This means a messy commute early Tuesday.

You should be prepared for up to 12 inches of snowfall, with slightly higher amounts in higher elevations. There will likely be widely-varying amounts per location. The "snow window" is Monday evening through Tuesday mid-morning. Snow will rapidly taper-off through the day Tuesday, followed by breezy and cold conditions.

Most of the snow will fall late Monday night and early Tuesday morning. We will most likely be changing some snow totals as we get closer to storm initiation, and if you have the capability of sending snow reports to us through our Facebook page, that would be awesome.

Stay tuned for more, tomorrow morning! -Meteorologist Steve Hamilton
NeutralGuy's Avatar
NeutralGuy replied the topic: #23 15 Nov 2015 18:02
I am going to stick with what you say oh great one please enlighten us!!



URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
336 PM MST SUN NOV 15 2015

...STRONG WINTER STORM MOVING OVER COLORADO MONDAY NIGHT...

.A POTENT WINTER STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS COLORADO MONDAY
NIGHT WHICH WILL PRODUCE HEAVY SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS AND THEN SNOW
AND GUSTY WINDS ON THE PLAINS BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE HEAVY SNOW
FALLING IN THE MOUNTAINS WILL MAKE TRAVEL CONDITIONS DIFFICULT DUE
TO SNOW COVERED ROADWAYS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. ON THE
PLAINS...AS THE SNOW BEGINS FALLING AND NORTHERLY WINDS
INCREASE...IT IS POSSIBLE THAT AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT DUE TO POOR VISIBILITIES AND SNOW
COVERED ROADS.
Chief Meteorologist's Avatar
Chief Meteorologist replied the topic: #24 15 Nov 2015 10:41
Yes, I'll post pertinent info on the board here, and also FB and TW. The thing we don't want is to get everyone in a panic.

The problem we have is that every Denver-area forecaster is saying something different LOL. I heard that one of the TV stations was forecasting 17 inches of snow for Fort Collins. Ugh.

Well, this is "most-likely" not going to be a storm that will bury us with six feet of snow. I say that because the simulations are indicating the system will eject to the northeast rapidly on Tuesday. That means our "snow window" will be fairly short.

Stay tuned, and Thank You! - Steve
HappyCamper's Avatar
HappyCamper replied the topic: #25 15 Nov 2015 10:07
Will you be posting here and on Facebook?
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