In the days before the first presidential debate, polls showed Romney trailing badly in most of those states. But, as I’ve argued from day one, the polls are wrong. They are badly skewed towards Democrats. Quite simply they are over-polling Democratic voters and assuming a turnout that looks like 2008, when record numbers of Democrats came out for Obama.
After Romney’s overwhelming victory in the first debate he now leads, or is dead even in battleground states where, only days before, he was supposedly way behind. My contention is a 1 point Romney lead in those Democrat-skewed polls is really a comfortable 5 to 7 point Romney lead on election day.
I've been saying the same thing. I still stick with my statement from 12 months ago where I said that there has been about a 12-15% shift that has occured since 2008. I see no reason why that dynamic has changed at all.
FredHayek wrote: How has that Peyton Manning worked out for you? Great stats but a lousy team around him.
Firstly-I spent my first 33 years in Chicago, i'm a Bears fan. The Bears and broncos were on at the same time on Sunday and I watched every minute of the Bear game and none of the Donkies, and secondly- The Broncos are taking a huge drop in class on Monday night- They'll beat the Chargers, win the division and then who knows what. The Broncos are very good and getting better every week
Hoot Owl wrote: How does that work? 1/2 of everything you have on Obama and the other half on Romney?What do you end up with? Is there a point spread?
I've never seen such a group of naive and ignorant people all in the same place before..
They are two seperate wagers Hoot-
I win when they announce Romney wins North Carolina, then I win again when Obama takes Michigan..Then we all win when they announce that it's Obama for another 4 years
Martin Ent Inc wrote: Big Puss is like a wannabe hollywierdo that can't get a part but hangs around anyway.
Just like I said in another thread- You look around to see what everyone thinks to find out what you should think..
Spineless
BTW- I'll be at Havana Park in Aurora watching the Troy vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers football game Thursday night. Ask the teller for CK and they'll bring you back to me for our "debate".. The drinks are on me
"Yes, you read that headline correctly. I am a Las Vegas oddsmaker (and former Libertarian vice presidential candidate) and here's why I am so boldly predicting a Romney landslide."
If you want to be, press one. If you want not to be, press 2
Republicans are red, democrats are blue, neither of them, gives a flip about you.