This morning, Gallup released a bombshell survey of likely voters this November. It wasn't a horse race poll, i.e. which candidate is ahead, but rather a look at the underlying demographics that will make up the electorate this November. They slap the survey with a very misleading headline, "2012 U.S. Electorate Looks Like 2008." While this is true in many respects, it obscures one very big difference. For the first time in a presidential election, more Republicans will vote than Democrats.
I can explain it to you but I can't understand it for you.
"Any man who thinks he can be happy and prosperous by letting the Government take care of him; better take a closer look at the American Indian." - Henry Ford
Corruptissima re publica plurimae leges; When the Republic is at its most corrupt the laws are most numerous. - Publius Cornelius Tacitus
I would think the tradition of social conservatives to have large families mean the GOP will continue to expand while social liberals are more likely to use birth control and abortion to control family size.
Thomas Sowell: There are no solutions, just trade-offs.
I wonder if that is the reason behind Romney's higher numbers in the Gallup poll vs other national polls. I didn't see anything in there revealing where the Republicans are. I have seen demographics that show the red states getting "redder", but that the large populous states that drive the democratic vote have not changed. It will be interesting this election to see the proportionate vote in the states, but bottom line is the electoral college elects the president.....and those demographics still favor Democrats.
It must be their image and the way they appeal to woman, blacks, Latinos, and other groups... I mean, who could resist the "kinder, gentler, compassionate-conservative" messages?
Democracy4Sale wrote: It must be their image and the way they appeal to woman, blacks, Latinos, and other groups... I mean, who could resist the "kinder, gentler, compassionate-conservative" messages?
But what you don't see is that Americans have seen declining income under an absent president and want someone who is optomistic and capable. This is Carter Vs. Reagan Act II.
Thomas Sowell: There are no solutions, just trade-offs.