A Democrat, admits we have nothing to show for the stimulus

I believe this might be the warning, listed as the Hindenburg Effect, for the downturn of the market you are leaning toward.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hindenburg_Omen

It is pretty technical for those who do not follow the market.

The Hindenburg Omen has actually reared it's ugly head twice recently. But, it's well to keep in mind that a) 75% of the time when it has appeared, nothing at all has happened, and b) that the market has been completely out of step with the real economy for some time now.