How can they tell the foothills that we could get up to a foot of snow and we barely get a dusting, and then come on this morning and say oops.......oh well, give me my check anyway! What other job in the country can you screw up so bad, so often, and have no ramifications?
I had friends who sat in 4 hours of traffic rushing down from the mountains and ski resorts along with tens of thousands of other people trying to beat this awful weather and up to a foot we were suppose to get yesterday. And NOTHING!! How in the heck can they still be telling us at noon yesterday to be expecting up to a foot of snow and not at all see that it was going hundreds of miles south of us? Why do we even need that job and why do we need them on TV making predicitons that are wrong more often than they are ever close.
Heck I can do what they do. Here let me try. Today there is a 50/50 chance that we might get from no snow up to 12 inches stating early morning throughout he evening. I will bet you that tomorrow, I can come on and my prediction falls within that range. Woo Hoo! I am a meteorologist!! Now give me a check for it!! :woo hoo:
Seriously what other job is out there where someone can make predictions and be wrong more than 50% of the time and still get paid big money for it? Other than congress.......
The Viking wrote: How can they tell the foothills that we could get up to a foot of snow and we barely get a dusting, and then come on this morning and say oops.......oh well, give me my check anyway! What other job in the country can you screw up so bad, so often, and have no ramifications?
Pretty much all politicians. Maybe politicians, and weather guessers should post bonds. If they are right, nothing happens. If they are wrong more than 50% of the time, the bond gets called.
Too bad future generations aren't here to see all the great things we are spending their $$ on!!
The Viking wrote: How can they tell the foothills that we could get up to a foot of snow and we barely get a dusting, and then come on this morning and say oops.......oh well, give me my check anyway! What other job in the country can you screw up so bad, so often, and have no ramifications?
Pretty much all politicians. Maybe politicians, and weather guessers should post bonds. If they are right, nothing happens. If they are wrong more than 50% of the time, the bond gets called.
I think they should break it down daily. If they get $200 a day for example, they go by how correct they are. If they call for 10 inches and we get 5, they only get half of their paycheck. If they call for 4 inches and we get none, then they don't get a check for that day. How about that?
And they no longer get to say 50% chance. What is that?? That is a coin flip! They get paid for a coin flip? They can come on and say they were right either way!
They were stupid. This was coming from the south. If it comes up like that it has to set up a low in the four corners to really do anything. I was not paying attention to the forecast but they should have said that. It is much more accurate when it is coming down from the north west. Especially for the mountains.
Also, since we are in a la nina year, the jet stream is messed up so we are in that middle spot.
The Viking wrote: ...
Seriously what other job is out there where someone can make predictions and be wrong more than 50% of the time and still get paid big money for it? Other than congress.......
Most hitters in baseball fail over 70% of the time.
renegade got to it before i could - politicians and we keep voting for them so what does that make us?
bumper sticker - honk if you will pay my mortgage
"The problem with Socialism is that eventually you run out of other people's money." attributed to Margaret Thatcher
"A wise and frugal government, which shall leave men free to regulate their own pursuits of industry and improvement, and shall not take from the mouth of labor the bread it has earned - this is the sum of good government." Thomas Jefferson
Oh, come on! Nobody's gonna say anything about climatologists being as bad as meteorologists? I'm about to fall over waiting to pounce! rofllol
"Now, more than ever, the illusions of division threaten our very existence. We all know the truth: more connects us than separates us. But in times of crisis the wise build bridges, while the foolish build barriers. We must find a way to look after one another as if we were one single tribe.” -King T'Challa, Black Panther
The truth is incontrovertible. Malice may attack it. ignorance may deride it, but in the end, there it is. ~Winston Churchill
The Viking wrote: And they no longer get to say 50% chance. What is that?? That is a coin flip! They get paid for a coin flip? They can come on and say they were right either way!
A coin doesn't land on heads 50% of the time, however. There are other variables involved, like how hard your thumb causes it to spin, how high it goes, what it lands on, what the texture of the surface it lands on is. If you think it's easy, forecast how many times my coin will land on heads if I flip it 100 times.
My understanding of the forecast percentage is that people misunderstand it. What I've been told is 50% chance of precipitation means is that there is a chance of precipitation in 50% of the forecast area. Obviously it rarely rains or snows over the entire forecast area. All the forecasters use one or all of the three forecast supercomputers that spit out the forecast, then they tweak it, based on their experience and knowledge. It's rare that the computer-generated forecasts agree, as they try to mimic the weather virtually. When they do, that's when you get everyone saying the same thing. But those computer forecasts are only as good as the information put into them.
The Viking wrote: ...
Seriously what other job is out there where someone can make predictions and be wrong more than 50% of the time and still get paid big money for it? Other than congress.......
Most hitters in baseball fail over 70% of the time.
Does that mean pitchers fail only 30% of the time???
Too bad future generations aren't here to see all the great things we are spending their $$ on!!
