I don't know if you over think Bolts games as much as you are emotionally attached to them. With that attachment comes a blind eye and wishful thinking that you can will them to win.
My gut tells me as much as I'd like to pick 'em, not to choose Detroit, Cinti, or Buffalo this week - I smell upsets. I hope I don't regret picking the Jets over San Fran...
"Now, more than ever, the illusions of division threaten our very existence. We all know the truth: more connects us than separates us. But in times of crisis the wise build bridges, while the foolish build barriers. We must find a way to look after one another as if we were one single tribe.” -King T'Challa, Black Panther
The truth is incontrovertible. Malice may attack it. ignorance may deride it, but in the end, there it is. ~Winston Churchill