wxgeek's weather-Dry/Warm this week, maybe change next wk

27 Sep 2011 06:19 #1 by RenegadeCJ
Our unseasonably warm and dry weather should continue this week with temps well above seasoanl norms, and only very slight chances for afternoon/evening showers/thunderstorms. Our pattern is currently locked by an upper level low over the Great Lakes region and an upper level ridge over the western US.

Long range models indicate that this pattern may be changing next week. The upper low in the Great Lakes is forecast to move eastward finally and our ridge will follow suite and migrate eastward beginning this weekend. This will allow an upper level trough to move from the Pacific Northwest into the Great Basin by late Sunday. Hurricane Hilary is currently located off the Mexico coast and is forecast to move northward along the Baja peninsula this week. The combination of the upper trough and moisture from Hilary will increase chances for precipitation across CO from Sunday into Monday. Models then suggest a much stronger Fall system will move across CO later next week and could provide the first snowfall of the season for the foothills above about 7000 ft. Still way to early to get too excited about this system, but the consistent trend in the models has been to bring much cooler weather into our region next week. Any precipitation will be welcome as things are getting quite dry with our lack of moisture and the seasonal drying of grasses.
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"Climatology is what you expect, Weather is what you get".

"It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong".

Too bad future generations aren't here to see all the great things we are spending their $$ on!!

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