wxgeek's weather-Weather Outlook Nov 15-22

16 Nov 2011 14:46 #1 by RenegadeCJ
A weak cold front has moved south over eastern CO and caused some weak low level upslope flow to develop. We may see a brief shot of light snow or flurries this evening into tonight, especially along the Palmer Divide, and perhaps the Urban Corridor where upslope flow will be more dominant than in the foothills where flow remains more westerly. Amounts will be light, from a dusting to maybe an inch or so.

Wednesday should be mostly clear and cool, slthough some showers possible across the far eastern Plains in the morning. Thursday will bring a return to warmer temps and more westerly winds, especially overnight Thursday when westerly winds could become quite gusty once again.

Friday will be mild and breezy, in advance of an upper level trough digging along the west coast from the Gulf of Alaska. At this time, models suggest this system will bring snow into western CO beginning Friday night into Saturday. Surface low forms over northeast CO so it appears nealy all moisture will remain west of a line from Longs peak to Kenosha Pass. As the cold front comes through Saturday afternoon, we could see a brief shot of snow in the foothills, but little if any accumulation, just more strong westerly winds from Friday night into Saturday. If this system tracks a little farther south, then we woudl have a better chance for accummulating snow in the foothills. So far, models have been consistent in the current forecats track.

Sunday should be cool and mostly clear with some lingering mountain snow showers. The next Pacific system will dig into SoCal and then eject across central AZ and NM early next week. Models keep precip south of US 50 at this time, but this system will need to be watched, as any change farther north in the track could bring decent snow to the foothills and Plains.
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"Climatology is what you expect, Weather is what you get".

"It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong".

Too bad future generations aren't here to see all the great things we are spending their $$ on!!

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