wxgeek's weather-Memorial Day Weekend Forecast

24 May 2012 13:26 #1 by RenegadeCJ
Nice moisture last night, anywhere from 0.25 to over an inch in some locations, which should help minimize the elevated fire weather conditions over the next few days.

Today should be mostly sunny with temps at or slightly below seasonal norms, with only a slight chance for isolated showers this evening and tonight, mostly north along the CO/WY border. We could see some low clouds late Thursday night into Friday morning over the Plains and possibly over the Urban Corridor and up along the lower foothills.

Friday temps begin to rise as upper ridge builds over CO and southwest flow aloft increases as upper trough digs into CA and NV. South to southwest surface winds will increase to 10-25 mph by Friday afternoon and evening, with RH values dropping. Only a very slight chance for isolated showers over higher terrain Friday afternoon/evening.

Saturday will see temps well above seasonal norms and strong south to southwest winds across most of CO. Winds could reach speeds of 20-45 mph combined with single digit RH values will create dangerous fire weather conditions, although ground fuel has received recent moisture, but any ignition that gets up into trees could be a problem. Just as an FYI, there is a very large wildfire burning in west central NM that is putting out a lot of smoke, and wind flow could pull this smoke into CO on Friday and Saturday, so any faint smoke and haze may be from this fire.

Upper trough will eject to the west and north of CO Saturday night and drag an associated cold front through the state. Not expecting much if any precip from this front, main impact will be cooler temps and higher RH values on Sunday under mostly sunny skies. Only a slight chance for isolated afternoon showers.

Memorial Day should be warm and sunny with light winds, a beautiful day to be outside and remember all of those fallen heros who have supported our country. The remainder of next week should see mostly dry conditions and mild temps. A back door cold front may affect eastern CO on Wednesday/Thursday with cooler temps and a chance for showers, but overall not a significant amount of precip expected over the next 7-10 days. Looks like we end May with around 11 inches of snow for May, so just about average, with the seasonal total right at average (175 inches) as well.
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"Climatology is what you expect, Weather is what you get".

"It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong".

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