Pretty tranquil early Fall (Fall begins Sep 1 meteorologically speaking) weather expected this week. Only very limited precip across the state until Friday, when a cold front is expected to move down from the north and usher in some low level moisture and upslope flow over eastern CO, so better chances for showers and thunderstorms Friday afternoon and evening especially along the foothills. The front will also bring cooler temps on Friday and Saturday east of the Divide.
The upcoming weekend currently looks mostly dry with temps near seasonal norms. Longer range models indicate we could see an increase in monsoon moisture early next week, so perhaps increased chances for precip, but temps to remain at or above seasonal norms. Fire danger will continue to rise across the state as ground fuels continue to dry out, combined with warm temps and breezy conditions. I recorded 1.77 inches of rain on Conifer Mountain in August, which is well below our average of nearly 3 inches. 2012 will go down as one of the warmest and driest years on record for much of Colorado. Hopefully the building El Nino will create a different picture for 2013.
Tropical Storm Leslie is currently in the western Atlantic and moving north northwest. Leslie is forecast to become a hurricane later this week and then track very close to Bermuda this weekend as a category 2 hurricane. Topical Storm Michael is in the central Atlantic and drifting northward and does not pose any threat to land.
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"Climatology is what you expect, Weather is what you get".
"It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong".
Too bad future generations aren't here to see all the great things we are spending their $$ on!!
