Upper level low currently spinning over east central UT. Model concensus is very good that upper low will slowly move southeast across southern CO and into southeast CO by Wednesday morning. This track will provide good upslope flow for eastern CO this afternoon into tonight, along with good low level moisture already in place across the plains. Showers beginning to increase across CO with movement from the south currently across the foothills. As upper low moves farther east, flow aloft will become northeasterly later this afternoon which will cause more continuous type precip to develop and persist into early Wednesday morning. Snow level currently between 6000-7000 ft, and will lower to plains level by later this evening. Better chances for accumulating snow at lower elevations today and tonight as colder temps in place with solid cloud cover. Currently looks like 2-6 inches possible for the foothills, and 1-3 inches for the Urban Corridor (heaviest west of I-25), and 1/2 to 2 inches for the plains. Not sure if snow will stick to roads below 6000-7000 ft due to very warm temps over the weekend, but above that expect snow and ice packed roads this evening into Wednesday morning. Precip should be east of CO by Wednesday morning, so mostly sunny skies by Wednesday afternoon with warming temps.
Thursday and Friday look dry and warm across the state with temps above seasonal norms as short wave upper ridge moves across CO. Some weak disturbances in more westerly flow aloft move across the state over the weekend, so a chance for afternoon and evening showers with isolated thunderstorms possible. Temps to remain at or slightly above seasonal norms this weekend.
Models continue to forecast a rather impressive Spring system for early next week. Vigerous upper level low digs from the Pacific Northwest into the central/southern Rockies and persists from Monday into Wednesday. System could also tap into some Gulf of Mexico moisture, so precip amounts currently looking very impressive (up to 2 inches of water equivalent). Snow level would initially begin high (9000 - 10,000 ft) Monday then lower to plains level by Tuesday into Wednesday. If models have any kind of handle on this system, could be an impressive Spring snow event for eastern CO early next week. Stay tuned as this event gets closer, as if models are correct, 1-2 feet of wet heavy snow could cause problems.
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"Climatology is what you expect, Weather is what you get".
"It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong".
Too bad future generations aren't here to see all the great things we are spending their $$ on!!
