First, he will win because he will raise a BILLION dollars for his re-election. Over half of that will come from union 'donations'. (Can you imagine if corporations gave that to the Republicans, the media would go nuts.) Second, he will win because the Republicans must march in lock step with the principals of te Tea Party or they will loose one of their major partner. The Tea Party believes that principals will win elections. That may be true for one third of the electorate, but the one third that are independent thinkers do not vote on principals based on the constitution (most Americans could not identify even the most basic principals of the Constitution, but rather on principals that affect them and their family. Third, like it or not the economy will be the deciding factor (based on today's world). The numbers are starting to change in Obama's direction. That could of course change, but right now the trend lines are in his corner. If the housing market collapses further or if employment sarts trending down (again) then that will work against him. And fourth, we have no idea who the Republicans will nominate at this point, but none of (today's) seekers of their nomination look like they could hold a candle to Obama's public charisma.
If he wins it'll be because of his spending - and the entitlement attitude of the voters that benefitted from it. Before he started spending and slamming the budget against the debt ceiling, we had a chance to turn things around. Now, it's going to be much longer and much more painful to get the economy back on track. The indicators might be looking stable for now, but that debt is a crumbling foundation. Unfortunately, the average voter won't see that. They'll just vote for the party that promises more handouts.
You want charisma? Watch Herman Cain speak.
"Whatever you are, be a good one." ~ Abraham Lincoln
I always hear right wing Republicans say in every primary they are going to pick a true conservative, but look who they eventually nominate, McCain, moderate, Dole, moderate, "W", who spent like a Democrat and was re-elected. The hard core conservatives tend to split the vote, or the hard core nit pick them to death and the moderate wins.
PersonallyI think the key will be the Dems getting out the vote. I don't think the Republicans need to convince people to vote for their nominee, instead they should work on convincing as many people as possible that Obama has been worthless and his foreign policy is the same as "W"'s.
Many first time Obama supporters are finally finding out who they elected and they don't think they will vote for him again. They probably won't vote for a (R), but if they stay home, that is a victory too.
Thomas Sowell: There are no solutions, just trade-offs.
Corporations and the Koch Brothers and the defense contractors, ad nauseum, DO give that much to the Republicans... And now, thanks to the Citizens United case, they can do so in secret and no one will know. And you guys will continue to cry about how you're being outspent by the unions when 2-3 times as much money is pouring in...under the radar....
Oh, boo-friggin'-hoo....
Am I "happy" with Obama?...Not particularly... There's a LOT that he promised that he hasn't done yet, or hasn't had time to do, or has been blocked from doing... Will I vote for him again?... You bet... There is NOTHING with an 'R' after its name that I could hold my nose and vote for. He'll win because the GOP has NOTHING. He'll win because if the GOP does what it usually does, they will primary the most right-wing, values-voter conservatives they can, and the middle-of-the-road Americans and independents aren't going to vote for some right-wing wacko. Hence, you get "John McCain"....and this time, probably Mitt Romney...
The GOP's Super-Duper PAC Inside conservative lawyer James Bopp's plan to allow candidates to raise unlimited funds.
Republican super lawyer James Bopp, the mastermind behind the Citizens United case that opened the door to unfettered corporate campaign spending, has a new scheme that would tie political candidates more closely than ever before to corporations and other special interests seeking to influence federal elections. He's trying to unleash what could be called a "super-duper PAC."
Last week, Bopp registered the Republican Super PAC (or political action committee) with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) as an independent expenditure committee. That means the money it raises can’t be coordinated with any of the candidates it supports, but that it can accept and spend unlimited contributions from individuals and corporations. Outside expenditure groups are nothing new to American politics. Bopp, in fact, helped pioneer such groups with the creation of the first "527" organization—nonprofit groups that can spend money on campaigns but that are regulated by the Internal Revenue Service, not the FEC. (Read the Mother Jones profile of Bopp here
.) But Bopp’s super PAC envisions doing something that’s never been done before: using candidates themselves to do the fundraising.
"The different thing here with our PAC is that we are going to harness the political fundraising of candidates and parties," he says. He explains that the committee will allow candidates and parties to fundraise for their campaigns and party organs at the same time they solicit unlimited, anonymous contributions to the super PAC.
lol , I heard on the radio this week that unions were taking out loans from those evil bankers to buy elections. Guess they forgot to raid the union pensions plans this time.
Thomas Sowell: There are no solutions, just trade-offs.
Too bad no onewill pass election reform. They are all like crack addicts, left or right. You all just look silly trying to pretend your side is lilly white. You have to scrape the mud off before you can even tell one from the other.
Obama will create a new government entitlement called the "Right to Donate". If you are on government assistance but cannot afford to donate to a political party, the government will give you the money to donate to the party of your choice. Just because you are poor does not mean that you should be denied the right to donate to a political party. It puts the under-privileged on equal footing with all of the rich people (who don't deserve the right to donate).