GALLUP: R 51% O 46%

26 Oct 2012 11:15 #1 by Reverend Revelant

All registered voters are asked: "Suppose the presidential election were held today, and it included Barack Obama and Joe Biden as the Democratic Party's candidates and Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan as the Republican Party's candidates. Who would you vote for [ROTATED: Barack Obama and Joe Biden, the Democrats (or) Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan, the Republicans]?" Those who are undecided are further asked if they lean more toward Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan and their leanings are incorporated into the results.

These results are for likely voters, who are the respondents Gallup deems most likely to vote based on their responses to a series of questions asking about current voting intentions, thought given to the election, and past voting behavior. Each seven-day rolling average is based on telephone interviews with approximately 2,700 likely voters; margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/157817/elect ... omney.aspx


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26 Oct 2012 11:17 #2 by FredHayek
Replied by FredHayek on topic GALLUP: R 51% O 46%
Nightmare CU Scenario, Romney wins the popular vote, but loses the electoral. In so many Red states, Obama is polling in the low 30's. But in many of the Blue states, Romney is within 10 points of the President.

Thomas Sowell: There are no solutions, just trade-offs.

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26 Oct 2012 11:53 #3 by Raees
Replied by Raees on topic GALLUP: R 51% O 46%

Gallup did have some good news for Democrats on Friday, saying that the composition of the electorate by race, age and gender in 2012 will likely mirror that of 2008. The survey said women will out-vote men by 4 points, and that blacks, Hispanics and young voters will turn out the same as they did in 2008. All of those groups lean Democratic, and their historic 2008 turnout helped propel Obama into the White House.


So much for the righties argument that pollsters were wrong expecting the same turnout as the 2008 election and that the polls were flawed because of that.

In the popular vote, it's a horse race but in the Electoral Vote, Obama wins. Meanwhile Anne Romney had a photo op shopping at Costco. Remember when the conservatives on here complained about Michelle shopping at Walmart?

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26 Oct 2012 11:57 #4 by Reverend Revelant

Raees wrote:

Gallup did have some good news for Democrats on Friday, saying that the composition of the electorate by race, age and gender in 2012 will likely mirror that of 2008. The survey said women will out-vote men by 4 points, and that blacks, Hispanics and young voters will turn out the same as they did in 2008. All of those groups lean Democratic, and their historic 2008 turnout helped propel Obama into the White House.


So much for the righties argument that pollsters were wrong expecting the same turnout as the 2008 election and that the polls were flawed because of that.

In the popular vote, it's a horse race but in the Electoral Vote, Obama wins. Meanwhile Anne Romney had a photo op shopping at Costco. Remember when the conservatives on here complained about Michelle shopping at Walmart?


Well... you can start a thread about Ann and photo ops... you're cheap-assed deflection is weak.

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26 Oct 2012 12:22 #5 by Raees
Replied by Raees on topic GALLUP: R 51% O 46%
It was an observation, not a deflection. Anne Romney shopping at Costco was weak.

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26 Oct 2012 12:29 #6 by archer
Replied by archer on topic GALLUP: R 51% O 46%
hmmmm...So Romney is down in the gallup poll....just a week or two ago he was up by 7, now he's up by 5, in between he has been up by only 3......

I can definitely see there being a disconnect between the national polls and the electoral college.......I wonder how Romney will handle it if he wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college.

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26 Oct 2012 13:18 #7 by FredHayek
Replied by FredHayek on topic GALLUP: R 51% O 46%
[quote="archer"I wonder how Romney will handle it if he wins the popular vote but loses the electoral college.[/quote]

He will lawyer up and if that doesn't work, he will accept his fate with style and retire from politics.

Thomas Sowell: There are no solutions, just trade-offs.

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