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FiveThirtyEight: Nov 2, 2012...
FiveThirtyEight: Nov 2, 2012...
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02 Nov 2012 22:55 #1
by LadyJazzer
FiveTHirtyEight: Nov 2, 2012
Electoral Votes: Obama: 304.8 / RMoney: 233.2
Chance of Winning: Obama: 83.7% / RMoney: 17.3%
Popular Vote: Obama: 50.5% / RMoney 48.4%
COLORADO:
Polling Avg: Obama: 48.2% / RMoney: 46.6.%
Already Cast: Obama: 47.9% / RMoney: 46.4%
Chance of Winning: Obama: 67% / RMoney: 33%
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
Well, y'all just keep up that happy face...
Oh...And by all means, ignore this one and go with the Rasmussen poll...
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03 Nov 2012 09:16 #2
by netdude
538 and this site 'Princeton Election Consortium' have been the most accurate pole aggregators over the last several elections...
The have it:
As of November 3, 10:00AM EDT:
Obama: 323
Romney: 215
Meta-margin: Obama +2.98%
Probability of Obama re-election: Random Drift 98.0%, Bayesian Prediction 99.8%
http://election.princeton.edu/
Polling geeks both....
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Rick
Mountain Legend
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03 Nov 2012 18:04 #3
by Rick
Democracy4Sale wrote: FiveTHirtyEight: Nov 2, 2012
Electoral Votes: Obama: 304.8 / RMoney: 233.2
Chance of Winning: Obama: 83.7% / RMoney: 17.3%
Popular Vote: Obama: 50.5% / RMoney 48.4%
COLORADO:
Polling Avg: Obama: 48.2% / RMoney: 46.6.%
Already Cast: Obama: 47.9% / RMoney: 46.4%
Chance of Winning: Obama: 67% / RMoney: 33%
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
Well, y'all just keep up that happy face...
Oh...And by all means, ignore this one and go with the Rasmussen poll... :Snooze
The left is angry because they are now being judged by the content of their character and not by the color of their skin.
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03 Nov 2012 19:16 #4
by Blazer Bob
Here is a soul mate for you. Cousin perhaps?
"Mitt would have made a great feudal lord. He is a disgusting human being. He dumbed down and demanded obedience from his entire family and he would like to do it to all of we peasants and serfs. Which id exactly how he sees us.
I can't believe Republican workers think Mitt would help them. That takes a level of gullibility I would only expect to find in our simian relatives and I am not sure about them?"
http://www.siliconinvestor.com/readmsgs ... htype=Next
Democracy4Sale wrote: FiveTHirtyEight: Nov 2, 2012
Electoral Votes: Obama: 304.8 / RMoney: 233.2
Chance of Winning: Obama: 83.7% / RMoney: 17.3%
Popular Vote: Obama: 50.5% / RMoney 48.4%
COLORADO:
Polling Avg: Obama: 48.2% / RMoney: 46.6.%
Already Cast: Obama: 47.9% / RMoney: 46.4%
Chance of Winning: Obama: 67% / RMoney: 33%
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
Well, y'all just keep up that happy face...
Oh...And by all means, ignore this one and go with the Rasmussen poll...
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03 Nov 2012 23:20 #5
by LadyJazzer
FiveTHirtyEight: Nov 3, 2012
Electoral Votes: Obama: 306.5 / RMoney: 231.5
Chance of Winning: Obama: 84.4% / RMoney: 15.6%
Popular Vote: Obama: 50.5% / RMoney 48.4%
COLORADO:
Polling Avg: Obama: 48.0% / RMoney: 46.7.%
Already Cast: Obama: 47.9% / RMoney: 46.4%
Chance of Winning: Obama: 68% / RMoney: 32%
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
Just keeps getting worse....for RMoney.... Don't it...
Y'all keep watching that Rasmussen, now, y'heah?
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04 Nov 2012 14:02 #6
by FredHayek
The undecided at this point are more likely to break for the challenger so seeing Barry without 50% has his handler's concerned.
Thomas Sowell: There are no solutions, just trade-offs.
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