FiveThirtyEight: Nov 5, 2012

FiveThirtyEight: Nov 5, 2012

Electoral Votes: Obama: 307.2 / RMoney: 230.8

Chance of Winning: Obama: 86.3% / RMoney: 13.7%

Popular Vote: Obama: 50.6% / RMoney 48.5%

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COLORADO:

Polling Avg: Obama: 48.1% / RMoney: 46.8.%

Already Cast: Obama: 48.4% / RMoney: 46.8%

Chance of Winning: Obama: 70% / RMoney: 30%

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OHIO:

Polling Avg: Obama: 48.8% / RMoney: 45.9.%

Already Cast: Obama: 49.0% / RMoney: 45.8%

Chance of Winning: Obama: 87% / RMoney: 13%

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PENNSYLVANIA:

Polling Avg: Obama: 49.6% / RMoney: 44.8.%

Already Cast: Obama: 50.2% / RMoney: 44.5%

Chance of Winning: Obama: 98% / RMoney: 2%

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WISCONSIN:

Chance of Winning: Obama: 94% / RMoney: 6%


MINNESOTA:

Chance of Winning: Obama: 100% / RMoney: 0%

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/


Well, y'all just keep up that happy face...

Oh...And by all means, ignore this one and go with the Rasmussen poll...

How do they know the results of the "already cast"....have they counted them already? Isn't that illegal? Or is that just "party affiliation"...

Counting of absentee and mail-in ballots can't begin until election day, so LJ's figures are based on exit pollling and honest people.

They aren't MY figures... I posted the link to where the figures come from. Why don't you write them and ask them how they get those numbers... However, since the Rasmussen polls also include the same numbers, for you to assume that something "shady" is going on is exactly what I would expect from the folks who know how to cheat better than anyone.