Re: 51-45/ Revised. 52-45/ Electoral Shift

18 Oct 2012 13:20 #31 by PrintSmith
According to RCP today it is Romney 206, Obama 201 with 131 Toss Ups. I would have to presume you are looking at the map with no Toss Ups to get your figure. Even at that, it is a far cry from the 365-173 Obama victory of 2008, which is indicative of an erosion of support in the Union for the policies of Obama that I alluded to earlier.

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18 Oct 2012 13:24 #32 by LadyJazzer
And the Electoral College projections are STILL: Obama: 277 / RMoney: 206 (270 to win)....

I wish you guys well in your endeavor....

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18 Oct 2012 13:33 #33 by archer

PrintSmith wrote: According to RCP today it is Romney 206, Obama 201 with 131 Toss Ups. I would have to presume you are looking at the map with no Toss Ups to get your figure. Even at that, it is a far cry from the 365-173 Obama victory of 2008, which is indicative of an erosion of support in the Union for the policies of Obama that I alluded to earlier.

No presumption needed....I said in my post those were the numbers with no toss ups.

I really never expected Obama to have as big a victory this election as the last......it has been a rough 4 years, what is surprising me is that the Republicans didn't start with an enormous advantage.....and I believe that is because of their choice of candidate. Romney is a tough sell to a lot of people, and many Democrats that might have thrown their support to a conservative challenger just can't see their way clear to support the man. Romney did himself some favors with the first debate, and Obama may well have sunk his chances with that debate.....but I wouldn't bet against Obama just yet.....

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18 Oct 2012 13:35 #34 by PrintSmith
That's not the RCP number, where does it come from, Huff-n-Puff?

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18 Oct 2012 13:38 #35 by PrintSmith

archer wrote: I really never expected Obama to have as big a victory this election as the last......it has been a rough 4 years, what is surprising me is that the Republicans didn't start with an enormous advantage.....and I believe that is because of their choice of candidate. Romney is a tough sell to a lot of people, and many Democrats that might have thrown their support to a conservative challenger just can't see their way clear to support the man. Romney did himself some favors with the first debate, and Obama may well have sunk his chances with that debate.....but I wouldn't bet against Obama just yet.....

Not betting against Obama at all. Best case scenario for the Democrats right now is preserving the status quo. Hoping that nothing changes is a far cry from the mantra of 2008, don't you think?

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18 Oct 2012 13:40 #36 by archer

That's not the RCP number, where does it come from, Huff-n-Puff?


Check it again....those are the RCP numbers for electoral college no toss up states.
copy/paste from RCP:


294 Obama/Biden
Romney/Ryan 244

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18 Oct 2012 14:06 #37 by PrintSmith

archer wrote:

That's not the RCP number, where does it come from, Huff-n-Puff?


Check it again....those are the RCP numbers for electoral college no toss up states.
copy/paste from RCP:


294 Obama/Biden
Romney/Ryan 244

Cross post archer - the reply was intended for SFB, not you. My guess is she got her figures from Huff-n-Puff.

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18 Oct 2012 14:07 #38 by Pony Soldier
I'm almost afraid to ask...SFB?

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18 Oct 2012 14:09 #39 by PrintSmith
Bat guano where grey matter ought to be.

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18 Oct 2012 15:40 #40 by Blazer Bob

PrintSmith wrote: Bat guano where grey matter ought to be.


LOL, that is a far cry from the person I wouldn't mind being stranded on a desert island with. KissyFace:

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