towermonkey wrote: The toss ups are leaning Obama right now. Don't get too excited...
There's more than one of the Toss Ups that used to be a "Leaning Obama" State rather than a Toss Up one. Just one short week ago the RCP Electoral Map showed Obama in the 260 range, that's a loss of nearly 50 votes to either Toss Up or "Leaning Romney" in the last 7 days or so.
With the potential flaw in the weighting system of so many of the polls, I don't think that the election is nearly as close as the polls are indicating it is. I'm almost willing at this point to go out on a limb and say that Romney will win Wisconsin in addition to Virginia, Ohio and Colorado given the accuracy of the polling surrounding the recall election versus the outcome of that election.
Yeah, for those who are only interested in polls when it appears that RMoney is ahead, (and who declare that it's "democrat over-sampling" when he isn't), yes there has been an electoral shift:
Obama: 277 / RMoney: 191 (270 to win)
That's a pickup of about 15 for Obama, and a loss of about 15 for RMoney....
You may return to your regularly scheduled grousing...