Re: 51-45/ Revised. 52-45/ Electoral Shift

20 Oct 2012 13:42 #51 by Pony Soldier
Last I saw was Obama 277, Romney 261 with no toss ups.

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20 Oct 2012 17:31 #52 by PrintSmith

Democracy4Sale wrote: Yeah, for those who are only interested in polls when it appears that RMoney is ahead, (and who declare that it's "democrat over-sampling" when he isn't), yes there has been an electoral shift:

Obama: 277 / RMoney: 191 (270 to win)

That's a pickup of about 15 for Obama, and a loss of about 15 for RMoney....

You may return to your regularly scheduled grousing...

How can that be when on 4 Oct you were reporting Owebama 303 - Romney 191? Someone certainly has lost a few electoral votes since then, but it isn't Romeny.

And I just checked RCP again. Still showing Romeny 206, Owebama 201 with 131 Toss Up. When the No Toss Up Map is chosen it shows Owebama 277, Romney 261. On 18 October, according to archer, it was showing Owebama 294, Romney 244. That would mean that Owebama, not Romney, is losing support according to the most recent polling data.

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