Raees wrote: You guys kills me. "Pretending it's close"... hahahaha It IS close.
500, the graph is from the FiveThirtyEight group at the New York Times and the "blogger" from the UK is a political columnist for The Telegraph, the leading newspaper in the UK, which you'd know if you bothered to read the link. He is writing about the findings of the statistician behind the FiveThirtyEight group.
So your "a graph from a UK blogger" is what is not accurate in your post, 500.
The 500 Foundation wrote: lets try this the simple way...
1-Columnist/blogger...the two are much the same in the Age of the Internet
what I want to know is why you think his opinion is relevant.
2- I read the link I know where he sourced the graph.
What I want to know is why you think it is accurate.
try not to get caught up with the minutae... I have no time for it
Why do you think his opinion isn't relevant?
I find the fivethirtyeight site is accurate because I didn't find any inaccuracies in it.
It is "a complex statistical analysis of the state of the race, and boils it down to daily estimate of the two candidates chances in the form of a mathematical percentage. Where most political commentators output is the product of briefings, gossip and personal perception, Silver deals in cold, hard facts."
Please don't embarrass yourself by arguing the statistical analysis is flawed just because it shows your candidate slipping.
1- I didn't argue the statistical facts, I merely wanted to hear your analysis/opinion
as why you thought it was accurate.
you stated that you, yourself, found no inaccuracies.
if that is your answer I can accept that.
I would have preferred your own opinion as to that of just another quote but I realize it
it easier to do than to actually think for yourself and offer something of substance based on
that
2- I don't particularly find the opinions of foreign media outlets all that important
Hell I don't find the opinions of American media outlets all that important either
3-I am no Rmoney supporter
so try not to embarrass yourself with 3rd grade cheap shots
when you don't know what you are talking about.