Written by a member of the McCain-Palin team on Oct. 31.
We do not "hope" to win or "believe we can" win, but are convinced that Mitt Romney will win the election on November 6.
Why?
First, Romney has consistently led President Barack Obama in the national polls ever since the president decided to skip the first presidential debate in Denver. In fact, the Gallup tracking poll has had Romney above 50 percent in their tracking polls released since October 15, coinciding with when the fallout from the first debate was first fully integrated into polling.
Second, numbers are moving downward for the president not only in the "battleground" states such as Florida, Ohio, Virginia, and North Carolina, but even in once safe states such as Oregon and Minnesota.
Mitt Romney will win big tonight. His popular vote margin will be between 3 – 5%. He will win the Electoral College I believe by a vote of 321 to 217, and with luck, even more. He will win all of the states McCain carried in 2008 which will give him 180 electoral votes. He will also carry the three states that normally go Republican that in 2008 went for Obama – Indiana, North Carolina and Virginia. That brings him to 219. He will also take Florida, which will bring him to 248 votes. Although the Obama campaign will deny it, it effectively wrote off Virginia and Florida several days ago.
Remember that "the polls are oversampling the Dems, that's why they show Obama ahead" arguments you guys made? Guess what? The polls were spot on. Even when confronted with the facts, conservatives refused to believe them.
Who Really Lost Last Night? Southern White Bigoted Men by: John R. Talbott, Author, 'Survival Investing: How to Prosper Amid Thieving'
This one (see below) showed up in my inbox this morning. I share it with you because I think it says quite clearly what many white men in the South feel, but are too timid to voice outright in public. But, it does guide them in the secrecy of the election booth. Unfortunately, this kind of thinking is not limited to uneducated Southerners. Surprisingly, many college educated Southerners also think and talk this way among themselves. The South may rise again, but not until they get over their bigotry and hatred toward people different from themselves. It certainly doesn't sound like something Jesus would be texting.
People are claiming that minority groups like blacks, gays, Hispanics, women and Asians caused this election result last night. No, white men caused it by being so bigoted against everyone else other than white males. When you think about it, white men are the minority. They make up less than 36% of voters in this election, and if they aren't careful, they may become extinct in the very near future.
"The illegal aliens who fraudulently voted ( I have proof of this at my local voting precinct ), the food stamp and welfare recipients, the so called " minorities", the supposedly "disenfranchised" poor, the stupidly pathetic hair-on-fire women with their myriad sexual and psychological problems, the liberal pseudo intellectuals, the "war is not the answer" university professors, the atheists, the slime ball thug unionists, the anti 2nd amendment fascists, the 47 percent of the population who never pay a cent of federal income taxes, the race baiting apologists, the fat a$$ed American Indians beating their drums at pow wows and living free on reservations in perpetuity while eating mountains of free bread, all the while getting paid for it,,,,I could go on and on,, this is my view of why the country walked off a cliff last night. Am I bitter? You bet!"
Obviously, it's not limited to "uneducated Southerners"...We hear this EXACT SAME THING from the sociopaths, Randroids and TeaHadists right here in our own neighborhood.... And I'm absolutely certain that some of them--(and probably some of the members of my own "uneducated Southern" family in Texas)--got the same email this morning....
Yep, somehow Obama won despite losing millions of voters since his messiah days. Not exactly a ringing endorsement, and very small coattails.
Besides, it is important to keep your base hopefull. Would you want to admit that the electoral college was going to be hard to win. Mitt stayed pretty close to Obama in the popular vote.
You people are acting like Mitt lost by 30% percentage points. Don't get too cocky. 2014 isn't too far away.
Thomas Sowell: There are no solutions, just trade-offs.
Nah... He lost by two FULL percentage points... and 129 electoral votes...(as soon as Florida comes in--at which time the popular-vote difference may increase too...)
And you guys lost more seats in the Senate; and you lost a few of the more bat-sh*t-crazy teabaggers in the House...And after the voter-suppression and anti-abortion shenanigans of the last couple of years, I rather think you're going to lose some more governorships and state-level elections in the future. Pretty soon the teabaggers will be a hysterically funny footnote in a history book somewhere...
And you lost the next couple of SCOTUS judge appointments; and you lost the repeal of ObamaCare; and you lost the 20% tax-cuts for the richest 1%; and you lost the opportunity to voucher-ize Medicare and screw the retirees; and the ability to screw Social Security; and you lost the ability to defund Planned Parenthood; and you lost the opportunity to turn MediCaid into block-grants for the states; and you lost the ability to cut FEMA, the Department of Education, and the EPA; and you probably lost the ability for the K-Street financial lobbyists to control future financial legislation; and ....
No, Poopsie, you lost a lot more than you think....
LadyJazzer wrote: No, Poopsie, you lost a lot more than you think....
Poopsie? Really? The bully is still holding reign in the schoolyard. Grow up LJ. It does not become a woman of you accomplishments. Or does it define you?
You're right... The GOTP SHOULDN'T bother fielding a candidate... If all you've got is somebody who's further to the Right, and more bat-sh*t-crazy than Mitt-Flop, then I, for one, am looking forward to it.
But do continue ... I love it when you engage your keyboard/mouth before you engage your brain....
FredHayek wrote: 2 full percentage points? OMIGOD. The Republicans shouldn't even bother fielding a candidate in 2016. Looks to me like they are closing the gap.
Think Mark Rubio could beat Joe Biden?
I don't think Biden is going to win the Democratic nomination.