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End Of Quarantine?
01 May 2020 15:02 #46
by ScienceChic
"Now, more than ever, the illusions of division threaten our very existence. We all know the truth: more connects us than separates us. But in times of crisis the wise build bridges, while the foolish build barriers. We must find a way to look after one another as if we were one single tribe.” -King T'Challa, Black Panther
The truth is incontrovertible. Malice may attack it. ignorance may deride it, but in the end, there it is. ~Winston Churchill
Replied by ScienceChic on topic End Of Quarantine?
This is what success looks like, and when countries (or states) should consider re-opening. Not while community spread is still happening, cases are still plateauing or barely decreasing, some hospitals barely have enough PPE, testing isn't occurring in useful quantities, and contact tracing protocols aren't yet implemented.
Coronavirus: New Zealand claims no community cases as lockdown eases
BBC | 27 April 2020
Youyang Gu @youyanggu 11h
What policy makers need to know about COVID-19 protective immunity
Daniel M Altmann, Daniel C Douek, Rosemary J Boyton
Published:April 27, 2020, The Lancet DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30985-5
Coronavirus: New Zealand claims no community cases as lockdown eases
BBC | 27 April 2020
According to one forecasting model (YYG by Youyang Gu in the CDC's select list of models), we'll surpass 80,000 U.S. deaths by May 10th, and have a 74% chance of surpassing 100,000 deaths by June 1.With new cases in single figures for several days - one on Sunday - Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said the virus was "currently" eliminated. “We are opening up the economy, but we're not opening up people's
social lives," Ms Ardern said at the daily government briefing. New Zealand has reported fewer than 1,500 confirmed or probable cases of coronavirus and 19 deaths. How did New Zealand respond to the virus? The country brought in some of the toughest restrictions in the world
on travel and activity early on in the pandemic, when it only had a few
dozen cases. It closed its borders, started enforcing quarantine of all arrivals in the country, brought in a stringent lockdown and
mounted an extensive testing and contact tracing operation. But the government has also been praised for the clarity of its messaging throughout the crisis.
Youyang Gu @youyanggu 11h
Sweden is banking on achieving herd immunity more quickly so they can go back to "normal" sooner, but they are gambling on some important unknowns, like whether infection will confer immunity or not.We updated every state's reopening timeline to reflect the current situation as of May 1.This may cause a "second wave" of cases for states such as Georgia and Colorado.
We are the only model that factors in state-by-state reopenings. Full projections: covid19-projections.com
What policy makers need to know about COVID-19 protective immunity
Daniel M Altmann, Daniel C Douek, Rosemary J Boyton
Published:April 27, 2020, The Lancet DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30985-5
"Now, more than ever, the illusions of division threaten our very existence. We all know the truth: more connects us than separates us. But in times of crisis the wise build bridges, while the foolish build barriers. We must find a way to look after one another as if we were one single tribe.” -King T'Challa, Black Panther
The truth is incontrovertible. Malice may attack it. ignorance may deride it, but in the end, there it is. ~Winston Churchill
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