Obama's Chances of Being Elected?

Obama recently stated that the odds of him being elected to President at this time in 2007 were much worse than they are today. Do you believe this?

To a certain extent, I do believe it. Hilary was supposed to be the nominee at this time and the man from Chicago stole it from her. But once nominated, I think he had a much better chance in 2008 than he will in 2012. The country wanted to replace Bush and Barack didn't have a real record to run against. And I really think some people thought they were doing good by voting for the country's first black president, even if he was unqualified.

It's more than a year off, who can say?

I will say, at this point, I am almost cheering for a Tea Party candidate win as I am certain the economy is not going to look any better in 2014 than it does now and it might as well be them who take the blame for it. Although it won't be their fault anymore than it is the fault of the current President.

Things are going to have to get worse still before people start smarting up to the real causes of the economic issues and stop imagining that it is all the fault of the "wrong" ideology in the White House and/or Congress.

But what are the real causes then?

Given the field of Republican candidates I think Obama is a shoo-in. But I do think that the House and Senate will go to the GOP. And if that's the case (Dem president and GOP Congress), I'm okay with that.

Nmysys wrote: But what are the real causes then?

In a nutshell, Capitalism is based on a doomed paradigm. It presupposes infinite growth in a world of finite resources.

The fact that it is the best we have come up with nonetheless, is infinitely depressing to me, but does not make it less true. And denying the problems with it is what has led to burst bubble after burst bubble, massive public and private debt, and chronically dysfunctional markets.

By the way, the two major political parties (and yes, that most definitely includes the Tea Party wing of the Republican party) differ only on what aspects of the denial they choose to focus on. It's a little like bickering over whether you smell smoke coming from the kitchen or from the bedroom when your whole house is on fire around you.

As to the causes, I lay the blame squarely on special interests and lobbyists who get politicians on all sides to pass legislation favorable to their clients. Congress and President have stopped working for the people and work to get money from special interests. Thus we end up with pork projects shoved into other legislation. Money is power and greed is good in Washington and Wall Street.

I agree with AspenValley. As I've posted previously, I hope the loyal opposition does win this next one. It will serve them right.

As to Obama's chances of being elected? 100% He's already been elected.

As to Obama's chances of being re-elected: It's way too early to say. We don't even know who his opponent is going to be. We don't know which way the economy is going in the next year or what world events are yet to come. There are too many variables. I have to agree with Rush on this one.

What are Obama's chances of being re-elected? That's a tough question...if his political machine can pull out the right economic rabbit out of the hat.....very good. If his TelePrompTer breaks down, unemployment stays flat, cost of living continue to rise, three wars still active, foreclosures heat up again, and solar energy industry goes bust - he's sunked.

AspenValley wrote: .... like bickering over whether you smell smoke coming from the kitchen or from the bedroom when your whole house is on fire around you.

What a perfect analogy!

WayneLeeH wrote: As to the causes, I lay the blame squarely on special interests and lobbyists who get politicians on all sides to pass legislation favorable to their clients. Congress and President have stopped working for the people and work to get money from special interests. Thus we end up with pork projects shoved into other legislation. Money is power and greed is good in Washington and Wall Street.

I agree with AspenValley. As I've posted previously, I hope the loyal opposition does win this next one. It will serve them right.

As to Obama's chances of being elected? 100% He's already been elected.

As to Obama's chances of being re-elected: It's way too early to say. We don't even know who his opponent is going to be. We don't know which way the economy is going in the next year or what world events are yet to come. There are too many variables. I have to agree with Rush on this one.

Special interests want to take down the economy and leave it in tatters? Don't you think they would prefer it was rolling along like it was 10 years ago?
I have always had a problem with the doomsayers who think the Rich would love to ruin the economy. I think they like being able to not have to hire bodyguards for their children, etc. In fact, some of the bigger charities out there are founded by the rich trying to shore up our education system, etc.

Right now I'd give him a 50/50 chance. If the economy stays stalled, and his poll numbers keep dropping like they are, I think Romney could beat him, but probably not a landslide.