ScienceChic wrote: Clinton may have moved to NY in order to run and win as Senator (according to one political commentator I follow, she's never won a tough election and wasn't that strong of a presidential candidate, as evidenced by her loss when it should've been an easy win), but she didn't leave NY after she left politics and she did accomplish a lot for NY while in the Senate. The question is, do New Yorkers consider her a New Yorker, and does she consider herself a New Yorker now? Not that it matters, because she's not running so who cares.
I respectfully disagree that Warren had the easiest path to the nomination. She's always been a divisive figure, and her foray into identity politics was a disaster that is still haunting her. She's smart, but she has complicated plans that make the average American tune out, and her plans are too progressive/not realistic. Plus, she and Bernie split supporters. I don't see her making it past South Carolina's primary.
I still like Klobuchar the best, but facing reality, she's not going to get the nomination.
Election Update: Two New Polls Show Biden’s Upside Scenario
By Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight | January 14, 2020
Dear Democrats, Here’s How to Guarantee Trump’s Reelection
You’ve got a historically unpopular opponent in the White House, but there are nearly a dozen ways you could still blow this.
By CHARLES SYKES, The Bulwark | June 25, 2019
Trump’s numbers are unmovable, but yours are not. He doesn’t need to win this thing; he needs for you to lose it. There are millions of swing voters who regard Trump as an abomination but might vote for him again if they think you are scarier, more extreme, dangerous, or just annoyingly out of touch.
Here are 11 pointers on how to guarantee that the most unpopular president in modern polling history wins reelection next year.
1. Hold firmly to the idea that Twitter is the beating heart of the real Democratic Party.
Woke Twitter is convinced that anger over Trump means that voters want to move hard left. You should ignore polls showing that most Democrats, not to mention swing voters, are much more likely to be centrist.
2. Embrace the weird.
3. Keep promising lots of free stuff and don’t sweat paying for it.
4. Go ahead and abolish private health insurance.
5. Spend time talking about reparations.
6. Trump thinks that immigration and the crisis at the border are winning issues for him. They aren’t. But you can turn that around.
7. Lots more focus on Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
9. Turn the abortion issue from a winner into a loser.
10. You can also turn a winner into a loser on the issue of guns.
11. As you try to get Americans more alarmed about Trump’s attacks on democratic norms, make sure you talk as much as possible about your support for court-packing.